Match: Brazilian Serie A
Fixture: Santos vs Internacional
Local kick-off time: 21:30 on July 23 (UTC-3)
Venue: Estádio Caldeirão
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Team Strength Overview:
Santos have been in inconsistent form recently. Although they pulled off a surprise win over league leaders Flamengo, they suffered a 0-3 away defeat to Mirassol in their last match, where they possessed nearly 60% of the ball but managed only 8 shots with none on target. In their last home game, they beat Flamengo 1-0, with Neymar—who returned from injury—scoring the only goal. The forward has started and played the full 90 minutes in the last two matches; if he does so again in this game, it will be the first time in over two and a half years that he has started and completed three consecutive matches.
Internacional have shown improved form recently, securing two consecutive league wins with clean sheets, demonstrating solid defensive stability. However, their away performances have been poor: in 7 league away games this season, they have 4 draws and 3 losses without a single win. Tactically, they favor a pragmatic defensive approach, keeping 4 clean sheets in their last 9 matches, but their attack lacks efficiency, averaging only 0.83 goals per game. The 34-year-old veteran forward Patrick has 3 goals and 4 assists in 10 rounds, leading the team in both categories.
Handicap Prediction:
Internacional +0 (Asian Handicap)
Draw + Away Win (European Odds)
Predicted scores: 0-0, 0-1, 1-1
Predicted goals: 0, 1, 2
Changes in Betting Data:
Major Asian bookmakers opened with an initial handicap of Santos -0.25, but Santos face significant pressure as they have few clear advantages to secure a win based on their current performance. The line later dropped to a level ball (0-goal). Despite Internacional’s winless away record, Santos’ recent strength and form make them unable to sustain the initial handicap. Therefore, it is safer to back Internacional to get a result away from home.
In terms of total goals, the initial line for this match is mainly set at 2 (Asian Handicap). Neither team has shown outstanding offensive performances this season, and their recent form is similar, making a stalemate likely. Thus, the total number of goals should not be overestimated.
